Betting Odds for NFL Week 1

The first week of the NFL season is upon us! That means fantasy football and parlay cards! I already broke down my fantasy football plays for the week here https://www.aatbirds.com/post/fantasy-football-week-1-plays

This article is going to take a look at some of the best betting lines and over/under’s for the week.

Week 1 will be tough to really get a feel for. There were no OTA’s, Rookie mini-camps, or Preseason games to get a grasp of what teams look like. So as with fantasy football this week, if betting at all, you need to look at track records of players and teams.

So looking over the options I have picked out a few games that look enticing to me. The first one is the season opener on Thursday night between the Houston Texans and the reigning Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Chief’s want to come out of the gates fast and put a stamp on their place as the best team in the league. I am taking the -10 easily and the over 55 is not that far off for me either. A final score somewhere around 38-27 is not a reach in my opinion.

The next game that stands out is the Seattle v Atlanta game. The Falcons are the home team but a one point dog. I love the consistency of both teams and the lack of defense that will be played in this game. I am taking the over 49 for sure here and expect a final score somewhere 31-27 (And picking the Falcons to win OUTRIGHT).

I never bet the Eagles. Just a personal rule of mine, but the -6.5 is enticing. I see the Eagles covering that spread easily and winning (stay tuned for All About the Birds picks during the LIVE show Wednesday @ 9:15pm).

The final game I am looking at is the Cardinals and 49ers. Time for the Super Bowl looser hangover to happen again. The 49ers are 7 point favorites against their division rivals. Most people are jumping all over the Cardinals and their improvements this year. While anointing Kyler Murray an MVP candidate is a bit premature, I still think they cover the -7. I will also go with the under in this game (46.5). I would expect a score of something along the lines of 24-21 (Pick either team… its that close to me)

Of course please gamble responsibly. If you need help please click here https://www.addictioncenter.com/drugs/gambling-addiction/

Have specific questions? Send them to me via twitter @ beardaknowledge.

The BMW Championship: Picks, Plays, Predictions

We roll into Chicago, Illinois this week and the Olympia Fields North Course for this weeks BMW Championship. It is the second week of the FedEx Cup Race to the Championship. The field is down to the top 70 players in the points standings.

After last weeks crazy low scores from Dustin Johnson and Scottie Scheffler, it will be interesting to see if this week brings some crazy scoring as well. If you read last weeks article, I told you to use Scheffler on all your fantasy lineups.

The betting favorite this week is Dustin Johnson at 8-1. Some of the other favorites that I like are Justin Thomas at 12-1 and Webb Simpson at 20-1. As always I look at these odds when picking my anchors to my lineups.

This weeks article is going to be short and sweet. Justin Thomas ($16900), Xander Schauffele ($16400), and Webb Simpson ($15900) are where I am putting my money and anchoring my fantasy lineups. Justin Thomas won the event last year and is 4th in the FedEx standings. Do not be surprised if he and Johnson are battling it out till the end for the title. Schauffele and Simpson have been my go to golfers when I was not sure which way to turn. This week is no different. I want consistent scorers and consistent cut makers.

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Adam Hadwin ($12200) and Brian Harman ($11700) are my bargain plays this week for fantasy golf. Both have high FTTP and are realitively cheap plays.

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The values on the players are using the FantasyDraft site as I always use them for their fan friendly structures and payouts.

As always mix it up a bit, have fun, and as always MAKE SOME MONEY!

Northern Trust Open: Picks, Predictions, Fantasy Plays

The PGA Tour rolls into Boston this week with the Norther Trust Open. The event is being held at TPC Boston for the first time. It also has a star studded field, as all of the top 125 in the Fed-Ex Cup standings are in the field.

Last week was my first week not cashing during this run of writing about fantasy golf. I lived and learned from those mistakes and this week will be pushing forward with a big week, and a big cash. As always, all values are based off of FantasyDrafts website. They are my go to fantasy site due to smaller fields, great payout structures, and their fan friendly setup.

There is a large amount of value on the cheaper side of things this week. So we are able to anchor our lineups with both favorites to win the tournament. I am picking 12-1 co-favorites Bryson DeChambeau ($17200) and Justin Thomas ($17200) to put at the top of the lineups. First, DeChambeau won this event last year (although at a different course) and won the last event held at this course (2018 Dell Technology Championship). Justin Thomas has a win and a runner up finish in his last four events played. He is hotter than most on tour and a strong candidate to win the event outright.

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Doc Redman ($12200) is a steal of a play this week. 5 top 30 finishes and a 3rd place finish last week makes him a great value grab. Next Mark Hubbard ($11000) adds even more value. He has yet to miss a cut since the restart. He also finished 15th last week so is playing great golf at the moment.

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The final player I will give you is Scottie Scheffler ($14200). He had a huge run at the PGA Championship two weeks ago. After missing three straight cuts, he is on fire with a 22nd and a 15th place finish to go with the 4th place finish at the seasons first major. He is averaging right around 125 FPPT in his last three events and that is a recipe for success.

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As always mix it up a bit, have fun, and MAKE SOME MONEY!

WYNDHAM CHAMPIONSHIP: Fantasy Plays, Picks, Predictions

Man what a week. The PGA Championship came and went. And your resident fantasy golf expert, continued to crush it with his picks and plays. I had a return of almost 9 times my money across the board of events I played. Although my main pick Bryson DeChambeau did not win it, he finished high enough that along with my secret pick (eventual winner Collin Morikawa) cashed in every event I played.

Onto this weeks Wyndham Championship in what will be a rainy Greensboro, North Carolina. This event is normally an event where players are chasing the points needed to make the FedEx Cup playoffs. This week we have a solid field of stars that are making the trip east. Plenty of top names like Brooks Koepka, Webb Simpson (the tournament favorite at 10-1), Patrick Reed, and Tommy Fleetwood headline this field.

I will anchor my fantasy lineups around one Justin Rose ($15800). He is one of the best ball strikers on tour. His approach and putting play was really good last week. These are the key characteristics needed at this course. I know your going to tell me he missed three straight cuts prior to his ninth place finish at the PGA Championship. I have a hunch here that this course fits him well and he is going to win the event.

Justin Rose

Next on my list of must haves is Harris English ($15400). He has four straight top four finishes to his name. He is also 6 for 6 making the cut in this event. His best finishes were t-11 (2018) and t-10 (2012). He plays well at this event year in and year out. Do not skip him.

Kevin Kisner ($14600) is my final recommendation for this weeks event. He made the fifth most birdies last week. And if we have learned one thing in the approximately six weeks of fantasy golf articles is…. BIRDIES BIRDIES BIRDIES. That is the name of the game when it comes to fantasy golf. He also has had success in this event in the past, with top ten finishes in 2014 and 2016.

Kevin Kisner WITB - Dean & DeLuca Invitational Clubs - Golf Monthly

As always take this advice as you will. My success speaks for itself. All values are based off of http://www.fantasydraft.com valuations. I love their site and structures (They are not a sponsor of mine so its just a plug based off experience) Have fun and continue to make money!

PGA Championship: Predictions and Fantasy Picks

This week we finally get the first major of the season. The PGA Championship rolls into TPC Harding Park, in San Fransico California. It is the first major ever hosted at this course. It has previously held a Presidents Cup (2009) and two other events (2015 and 2005) won by Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods. Brooks Koepka is trying to become only the second golfer to ever win three consecutive PGA Championships (Walter Hagen being the other 1924-1927).

Koepka along with Justin Thomas are your betting favorites at 10-1 each. Bryson DeChambeau is next at 11-1. Other notables are McIlroy at 14-1, Tiger Woods at 22-1, and Jason Day at 40-1.

I built my lineup for the event over on FantasyDraft this morning. I feel I have developed another winning lineup. Here are some of the players I feel you should consider to anchor your lineups. While I use the Fantasy Draft values, these players should be considered on all sites when building your lineups.

I am anchoring my lineup with DeChambeau ($16600). Prior to his 30th place finish last week and his missed cut at the Memorial, DeChambeau had been on an absolute tear. He had finished in the top 8 in his first four events of the restart. His game has been poised and ready to win that first major. And I firmly believe this is the week he gets his name on the major winner list. Not only is he my lineups anchor but if I was to lay a bet, it would be on him at that 11-1 line to win the entire thing.

Bryson DeChambeau To Bulk Up: 'I'm Going To Look Like A Different ...

Next on my list to watch out for is Abraham Ancer ($14000). He is probably the best golfer on tour right now that no-one pays attention to or even knows who he is. He is the 21st ranked golfer in the world and has four top 15 finishes since the restart. He has yet to miss a cut in the five events he has played. He scores a load of points and will most likely have a lower percentage of ownership (which I love).

WGC-Mexico: Abraham Ancer tests the players' Mexico knowledge ...

Xander Schauffele and Gary Woodland are two other names I really love to score big and be in contention this week. They are always in the thick of things and could be primed for a deep run. They have made 11 out of the 12 cuts combined and have 4 top 9 finishes between them. Their respective prices of $15900 and $14300 are great values as well.

My sleeper and darling pick though is Ricky Werenski. He is only ranked 127th in the world, but is coming in on fire. He finished 3rd at the 3M OPEN and last week won the Barracuda Championship (you did not know there was a second event last week did you?) His win last week earned him this spot in the PGA Championship, he is playing great golf, he has not missed a cut since the restart, and at $11800 he should not be skipped over.

South Hadley's Richy Werenski shoots 70 in final round, finishes ...

As always have fun making your picks, mix it up a bit, and MAKE SOME MONEY! Football season is around the corner and you can be building your bankrolls like me for when the real business picks up!